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SARS From Mike: I believe SARS is real. Whether natural or not it probably gets handled the same way. Here are two contradictory examples/opinions and my suggestions for prevention. SARS Is NOT
Naturally-Occuring -Hello Jeff... From Mike: Well, you read that now you'd better
read this one to see what YOU think after you have heard BOTH
sides. Is China manipulating as well or is SARS real. I
think it is real but quite manageable. First
Here is another. This one from a travel agency source.
HI, all,
I received several calls about SARS-concerns. I have communicated
with 3 MDs who were/are in China. They agree that it is nothing
other than
bad cases of flu or average cases of pneumonia. They insist that the
people dying are mostly people who
are treated with medication, causing an
allergic effect that is fatal. Below is more evidence to validate the
above conclusions.
I suggest that no one on the diet be concerned about SARS. If you
planned to travel to Asia, enjoy the trip
and focus on having fun. healthfully, a
SARS BUBBLE IMPLODES AS
THE SEWAGE HITS THE FAN !
[Image]
by Fintan Dunne
SarsTravel.com
April 18, 2003
07:00 GMT
THE END FOR SARS
"A large number of suspect SARS cases turn out,
on further investigation, to have other, common causes."
Last line in WHO Update 32 for 17 April 2003
PART I
POP GOES SARS IN THE USA
Unlike other countries, the US has never identified the
'probable' SARS cases within the large 'suspected' group.
Now we know why.
The CDC revealed yesterday that of 208 'suspects' only 35
cases were 'probable' SARS. So now you know. When do
severe respiratory symptoms not fulfill the criteria for
SARS? When they are not severe at all. Or never were.
The other 173 suspected U.S. cases involved only fever or
milder respiratory symptoms, according to Dr. Julie
Gerberding, of the US Centers for Disease Control.
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"Probable cases are more likely to have the condition,"
she added.
Thanks for that stunning insight. So, the US CDC has been
padding out their SARS statistics with influenza-type
conditions for weeks.
Thanks a bunch.
Well, how many of the remaining 35 probable cases are
actual SARS?
For example, how many have recovered?
This statistic is now listed by the WHO. As of Thursday,
17th April global recoveries stood at 1,597 of the 3,389
cases. But no statistics are expected to be available
anytime soon from the United States, according to CDC
press officer Rhonda Smith.
"We're still working to define what SARS is, which makes
it difficult to define someone as recovered," she said.
||
I nearly bust a gut laughing when I read that. OK then,
at least tell us how these 35 --possibly recovered,
possibly still SARS cases-- are distributed around the
USA.
Officials are not saying where the probable cases are.
Right, let's try and figure this out despite the
tightlipped CDC stance. The CDC had previously reported
that 5 of these 35 patients, all of whom were travelers,
had laboratory evidence of recent infection with a novel
coronavirus.
Let's make an educated guess that these are the 5 persons
with a semblance of something like SARS in the entire
USA. Let's make another guess that the reason the US CDC
is so coy about the recovery issue is that they already
reported those 5 had recovered.
And therefore the mortality from this "deadly" SARS
epidemic in the USA out of the existing caseload is
likely to be zero.
Big, fat Zero.
Just like SARS itself.
One national public health authority SARS bubble just
burst.
Imagine that repeating in other countries.
Meanwhile, in Hong Kong, the sewage just hit the fan.
PART II
SARS: Sewage Acquired Respiratory Syndrome.
"...the Amoy cluster includes a high proportion of cases
presenting
with diarrhoea, estimated at about 60%. In most other
clusters of cases, diarrhoea has typically been seen in
only 2% to 7% of cases."
WHO Update 32 - 17 April 2003
In Hong Kong also on 17th April, Health Secretary Dr.
Yeoh Eng-kiong said the mass outbreak at the Amoy Gardens
apartment complex began after a SARS-infected man who
also had diarrhea visited his brother there between March
14 and March 19.
Most of the 321 infected residents in the Amoy Gardens
complex probably picked up the virus in their bathrooms,
according to the Secretary for Health. Large amounts of
human waste carrying the virus went into the sewage
system and leaked into apartments connected by toilet
pipes.
A report prepared by Hongkong health authorities said
that under-floor U-traps such as those in bathroom floors
were dry in most cases. This would have allowed air from
decomposing fecal matter to waft into bathrooms.
The moist conditions there allowed water droplets
containing the virus to form, the report said. Bathroom
extractor fans then spread the virus into the apartments.
Most of the SARS cases were in vertically linked flats in
a single building, Block E.
Media reports have described Amoy Gardens as a lower
middle class housing estate. But the sanitation system
rendered it effectively a slum with conditions which
rivaled those in Middle Ages.
In other words, the first headline-grabbing high-profile
mass-infection so-called SARS incident arose from the
oldest disease source known to mankind: exposed human
excrement.
Now it gets really interesting. According to the WHO,
two-thirds of the building's residents reported diarrhea
as one of their initial symptoms of SARS. In most other
clusters of SARS cases, diarrhea was typically only 2% to
7% of cases.
Most significantly, the Amoy Gardens residents have been
sicker than other SARS patients. Doctors have reported
these cases are not responding as well to the anti-viral
drugs and steroids that have been effective in around 80
percent of patients.
Conclusion: Amoy Gardens is to the rest of the SARS
"epidemic" as
chalk is to cheese.
Much of SARS is arguably atypical pneumonia.
Amoy Gardens was just atypical filth.
But it sure kickstarted the SARS scare, didn't it?
Even though health authorities lumped all the pneumonia's
into one grand syndrome, there is more than one type of
SARS.
Next stop Canada.
PART III
SLOPPY SCIENCE OF SARS
Dr. Frank Plummer, the head of the Canadian WHO lab
investigating SARS was puzzled. He found so few copies of
the coronavirus in so many cases that he doubted it was
the cause of SARS. Worse still he could only find the
alleged causal coronavirus in half of the so-called SARS
cases. So what were the rest of the cases? SARS or not?
Here's what I wrote two days ago:
"The virus is not the same as the syndrome.
A syndrome is a collection of symptoms. It's a concept.
Whereas the coronavirus is a thing. So, to describe the
virus, call it "SARS associated virus." That's not being
pedantic --that's being scientific. Sloppy words lead to
sloppy thinking and result in sloppy science."
Next, see the flaw in the WHO case definition of the
syndrome:
High fever AND cough or breathing difficulty AND either:
a) close contact with a case of SARS;
b) travel to an affected area;
c) residing in an affected area.
A rather loose definition, said Frank Plummer. But let's
take it on face value. Cough and fever is SARS if you are
anywhere near another SARS case.
And... how do we know the SARS case you were near was a
SARS case? Same thing. Cough and fever anywhere near a
SARS case.
No wonder the SARS thing mushroomed!
It classified bad influenza or regular pneumonia as SARS
cases.
No wonder hospitals began to bulge at the seams.
Have people been dying?
Sure they have. People die of pneumonia all the time in
their millions.
But if you stand the Amoy Gardens incident on it's own.
And if you strip out the 50% of cases with no
coronavirus.
As 3,000 people die each year in Hong Kong from "regular"
pneumonia.
You are left with the natural background incidence of
pneumonia, and a possible fecal matter derived pathogen.
We may still have a health problem. And we need to review
the cases -more prudently this time. But unless you live
in a slum. Or fail to wash your hands after the bathroom.
SARS is not a problem for you.
Best case: Standby for the announcements from health
authorities that their hysterical overreaction has saved
us all from the deadly SARS epidemic.
Worst: More of the hype machine and further global
economic damage, over a spurious syndrome which is a drop
in the disease ocean.
* * *
The mass media is a monstrosity --this website is a small
voice.
Copyright © SarsTravel.com, 2003 Meanwhile I have researched and discovered that SARS is probably VERY preventable. Below are my recommendations for strengthening the body so as one does not get SARS or gets rid of it quicker.. NOTE: If you depend upon the public system to protect you from SARS you may be asking for a heap of trouble such as vaccines and or silly excesses like washing your toilet seven times daily. Just witnessed a man in my gym practically hosing down his stationary bike with some kind of germ killer. Wonder how much toxicity is in that bottle of spray disinfectant and how much damage the excessive usage will do to his immune system. Oops! Sure as I rant about the Gov for sure they come up with something maybe workable. See below Update: Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome --- United States, May 14, 2003CDC continues to work with state and local health departments, the World Health Organization (WHO), and other partners to investigate cases of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS). This report provides an update on reported SARS cases worldwide and in the United States. During November 1, 2002--May 14, 2003, a total of 7,628 SARS cases were reported to WHO from 29 countries, including the United States; 587 deaths (case-fatality proportion: 7.7%) have been reported (1). The 345 SARS cases identified in the United States have been reported from 38 states, with 281 (81%) cases classified as suspect SARS and 64 (19%) classified as probable SARS (more severe illnesses characterized by the presence of pneumonia or acute respiratory distress syndrome) (Figure,Table) (2). Of the 64 probable SARS patients, 44 (69%) were hospitalized, and three (5%) required mechanical ventilation. No SARS-related deaths have been reported in the United States. Of the 64 cases, 62 (97%) were attributed to international travel to areas with documented or suspected community transmission of SARS during the 10 days before illness onset; the remaining two (3%) probable cases occurred in a health-care worker who provided care to a SARS patient and a household contact of a SARS patient. Among the 62 probable SARS cases attributed to travel, 35 (56%) patients reported travel to mainland China; 18 (29%) to Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China; six (10%) to Singapore; three (5%) to Hanoi, Vietnam; and eight (13%) to Toronto, Canada. Seven (11%) of these 62 probable patients had visited more than one area with SARS during the 10 days before illness onset. Laboratory testing to evaluate infection with the SARS-associated coronavirus (SARS-CoV) has been completed for 96 cases (23 probable and 73 suspect). Of 20 probable SARS patients with complete test results, six with laboratory-confirmed infection with SARS-CoV have been identified (3,4); this number remains unchanged since the last update (5). None of the 73 suspect SARS patients evaluated has had laboratory-confirmed infection with SARS-CoV. Negative findings (i.e., the absence of antibody to SARS-CoV in convalescent serum obtained >21 days after symptom onset) have been documented for 90 cases (73 suspect and 17 probable). Since the previous update (5), the epidemiology of SARS in the United States has not changed markedly; secondary spread to contacts such as family members and health-care workers is limited, and most cases continue to be associated with international travel to areas where SARS is being transmitted in the community. CDC has developed interim recommendations for businesses and other organizations with employees returning from areas with community transmission of SARS and for other organizations and institutions (e.g., schools) hosting persons arriving in the United States from such areas (6,7). CDC does not recommend quarantine of persons traveling to the United States from areas with SARS nor the cancellation or postponement of classes, meetings, or other gatherings that would include travelers from areas with SARS. Activities to prevent importation and spread of SARS from inbound travelers (6) include 1) pre-embarkation screening of persons traveling from areas with SARS, 2) assessment by health authorities of ill persons aboard flights arriving from areas with SARS to ensure that ill passengers are isolated and evaluated promptly and that appropriate follow-up of other passengers occurs, 3) distribution of health alert notices to travelers arriving in the United States to notify them of the importance of monitoring their health for 10 days after departure and promptly seeking medical evaluation if they have fever or respiratory symptoms, and 4) the rapid detection and isolation of persons in the United States who have traveled from an area with SARS who have symptoms compatible with early suspect SARS within 10 days of arrival. Reported by: State and local health departments. SARS Investigative Team, CDC. References
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